My Weekly Central Oregon Real Estate Blog

Every Wednesday morning, I post a market report for Central Oregon with information about homes, market trends, and real estate news, and on Friday, I post about the luxury market. Register today, or contact Reed for immediate assistance. 

March 21, 2025

Central Oregon Luxury Market Report | March 21, 2025

Central Oregon Luxury Market Report for March 21, 2025

There is little doubt that the last blast of wintry weather has impacted activity in the luxury market, as most of these properties have extensive exterior spaces that are difficult to asses in snow and rain. Still, buyers are moving quickly, particularly below $3M. The national average for a 30-year fixed-rate Jumbo loan has been flat over the last several days at 7% and down considerably from the most recent peak of 7.45% on February 12, 2025. 

 

 

Unsurprisingly, the most activity in the luxury market has been between $1M and $2M. There are 248 active listings in this price range, up 24 from last week. The median price reduction of the 94 homes that dropped the listing price was -4.3%. There have been eleven pending sales in the previous seven days, with a median days list of only ten and zero price changes. While pending sales are down five from last week, the short days listed and the lack of price reductions show strong buyer demand. Nine homes closed the previous week with only one price reduction from the list price. 

 

 

Six new listings between $2M and $2,999,999 show steady growth in this tranche. Only twenty-three active listings have reduced the asking price, considerably less than the overall market. Two pending sales at $2.8M and $2,995,000 with no price reductions prove buyers are stepping up, and sellers are getting their price. Three homes closed at $2M, $2,295,000, $2,950,000, and one sale over asking 1.49%. The three closings were listed only one day, two days, and the last before it hit the MLS with zero days listed. Sellers in the luxury market are experiencing robust buyer demand with correctly priced properties. 

 

 

The net number of listings above $3M remains at thirty-one, with another pending sale of $3,195,000 this week. In this price range, the active listing median days on the market is 121. This week's pending sale was listed for 208 days. No closed sales were recorded in Deschutes County in the previous seven days: Year-to-date, five sales above $3M outpace the four recorded in 2024. In 2023, only eighteen sales recorded above $3M, with thirty-seven in 2024. While it is too early to make predictions, all the data indicate robust activity in the high-end luxury market as 2025 unfolds.

 

 

Homes listed over $1M in Crook County dropped one this week to forty-six. One pending sale in West Powell Butte Estates, listed for $1,240,000 and only twelve days on the market before finding a buyer. The single closed transaction was in Brasada Ranch at $1,500,000 with a negotiated sale price -2.27% below the list price. 

 

 

For those of you reading my market report on Wednesday, which covers all of the activity in Central Oregon across all price points, it is obvious our luxury market is outperforming. The most exclusive listings in Central Oregon take more marketing time to find the right buyer, with properties between $1M and $3M selling quickly. An increase in inventory will also increase sales as the weather improves and buyer activity scales up for summer. With April just around the corner, now is a great time to start marketing your home for maximum exposure to potential buyers. However, sales in the luxury market typically increase in the late third quarter and early fourth quarter. Buyers usually spend the early summer evaluating inventory and checking new listings before deciding on the right property for them. 

 

 

Stale, inaccurate information floats around regarding market activity, and I regularly speak with buyers and sellers who don't have an accurate picture of the Central Oregon housing market. Stay tuned to this report for precise reporting specific to your needs, and please reach out anytime for a detailed analysis of your property. Trophy locations and homes in the most sought-after locations in Central Oregon require knowledge of our market, thorough analysis, and a realistic understanding of buyer activity today, and I have the tools and experience to provide the analysis and marketing necessary for any home in Central Oregon. 

 

Reed

Your Bend Real Estate Agent is here to help

Reed Melton serves Bend and surrounding areas

Whether you are searching in Bend or any of the close by areas, I want to help you find the perfect property. Even if you are in the beginning stages of your search, I always like to be a resource, no pressure ever.
March 19, 2025

Central Oregon Market Report | March 19, 2025

Central Oregon Market Report for March 19, 2025

Although the weather in Central Oregon has recently felt wintery, spring is undeniably on its way. Mortgage interest rates have softened a bit, now at 6.79%, while activity has increased in Crook and Jefferson Counties and slowed to more average levels in Deschutes County for this time of year. The average price change for Active, Pending, and Sold properties is declining, as well as the days listed before securing a contract. New listings at this time of year benefit from seeing how prices impact sales, and homes priced correctly are selling fast. Quick sales are not even across the board, and inventory levels continue to climb, especially in Deschutes County, the largest region of Central Oregon. Let's take a closer county-by-county look at the activity last week.

 

 

The Deschutes County inventory of single-family homes climbed above 900 for the first time since December 11, 2024, at 927. While 411 of the actively listed properties have lowered the asking price, the median price reduction is modest -3.7%, typical of peak-season price changes. Fifty-nine pending sales decreased from the higher numbers in the first two weeks of March but were in line with the previous several weeks. However, the median days listed before securing a contract in the pending sales were only eleven, with an average sale price of $981,484. Forty-eight homes sold at twenty-two median days listed, and a median price decrease of only -1.68%. These numbers indicate knowledgeable buyers poised to jump on great homes at good prices. On March 20, 2024, there were only 623 active single-family listings in Deschutes County, and it wasn't until late May that levels surpassed 1,000. 

 

 

Crook County inventory decreased three this week, now at 161 listings. While the trend is moving towards more inventory on a seasonal basis, the county's levels are nowhere near as high as those in neighboring Deschutes County. Ten pending sales in the previous week, only twenty-one median days on the market, and a median price reduction of -1.8% indicate strong buyer activity. There were also ten closed transactions with seventy-four median days listed and a median price decrease of -2.27%. The inventory bottom in Crook County in 2024 occurred at the end of January at 102 and peaked on October 23 at 184. 

 

 

Jefferson County inventory increased four this week to 106, with two pending sales and five closed transactions. Of the pending sales, only one changed the price by -1.17% before securing a contract, while two of the five closed transactions accepted lower offers, averaging only -1.55%. The last time Jefferson County inventory was at this level was late November, with the peak at 120 on September 25 and the bottom on March 6 at 72.

 

 

Strategically, buyers and sellers will be well served in the housing market this year by paying particular attention to price. Well-priced homes are moving quickly, but even modestly overpriced properties are lingering. Aggressive price decreases to align properties with the market are securing contracts. With more inventory, buyers can compare and contrast options at a particular price, making some properties stand out as great deals. 

 

 

Be sure to check out my Luxury Market Report on Friday. There was solid activity this week between $1M and $2M and over $2M. Each market segment has different dynamics; market-specific data is vital to buyers and sellers in making good decisions. The Central Oregon housing market is stable, but for sellers in particular, price is essential to a timely sale.  

 

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Reed

Your Bend Real Estate Agent is here to help

Reed Melton serves Bend and surrounding areas

Whether you are searching in Bend or any of the close by areas, I want to help you find the perfect property. Even if you are in the beginning stages of your search, I always like to be a resource, no pressure ever.
March 14, 2025

Central Oregon Luxury Market Report | March 14, 2025

Central Oregon Luxury Market Report for March 14, 2025

It was a relatively slow week for much of the higher-end market in Central Oregon, which is not surprising since most of these properties are selling in the summer. Still, modest inventory growth is increasing supply, with some desirable properties finding a buyer just days after listing. Year-to-date sales for all price points covered in this report have outpaced 2023 and 2024, with the $2M to $3M range in Deschutes County bettering 2022 as well.

 

 

There are 224 single-family homes listed in Deschutes County between $1M and $2M, an increase of eight since last week. Sixteen pending sales are three more than last week, with nine closed transactions. The pending median days listed were only eight, with the days listed for closed transactions only seven. There is no question that buyers in this price range recognize good properties priced correctly and are wasting no time securing a contract. Year-to-date, in 2022, were 126 sales in this price range, with 65 in 2023, 80 in 2024, and 93 this year. Remember that in the first half of 2022, mortgage interest rates were still low, and many buyers were jumping on properties before the expected rate increases hit.

 

 

One more home is in inventory in Deschutes County in the $2M to $3M price range, for a total of sixty-eight. Four pending sales at a median of fifteen days listed again show buyers are wasting no time on properties that fit their needs. One home in SE Bend sold for $2,000,000. Year-to-date, in 2022, there were nine sales in this price range, with eleven in 2023, eleven in 2024, and sixteen this year. 

 

 

In the exclusive over $3M range, there is one fewer home listed in Deschutes County at thirty-one. There was one pending sale at a list price of $3,999,000 and no closed transactions this week. Year-to-date, in 2022, there were six sales in this price range, three in 2023, four in 2024, and five this year. Expect more listings in this price range as the weather improves over the coming weeks.

 

 

Neighboring Crook County has forty-seven homes listed for over $1M, an increase of three from last week. No sales were pending in the previous week, with one closed transaction for $1,619,000 in Brasada Ranch. Year-to-date, in 2022, there were eight sales in this price range, seven in 2023, two in 2024, and four this year.

 

 

The year-to-date activity at this time of year indicates better performance than any year since 2022, but buyers and sellers should take this data with a grain of salt. First, inventory levels for the last few years were so suppressed that many buyers were not able to find suitable properties, especially at this time of year. Second, weather in Central Oregon can be unpredictable in the late winter and early spring and has an outsized influence on real estate activity. Still, all indications show market improvements since the peak market in 2022. While smaller Crook County's higher-priced homes are mostly restricted to Brasada Ranch and Powell Butte, which cap potential activity, sales in Deschutes County over $1M steadily increase as affluent buyers relocate to Central Oregon. Regardless of market conditions, knowing the unique appeal of high-end properties and marketing them correctly to potential buyers are essential for the Central Oregon luxury market. 

 

Reed

Your Bend Real Estate Agent is here to help

Reed Melton serves Bend and surrounding areas

Whether you are searching in Bend or any of the close by areas, I want to help you find the perfect property. Even if you are in the beginning stages of your search, I always like to be a resource, no pressure ever.
March 12, 2025

Central Oregon Market Report | March 12, 2025

Central Oregon Market Report for March 12, 2025

With inventory growth across all three counties of Central Oregon and mortgage rates at 6.79% this morning, conditions continue to favor buyers slightly as we enter the 2025 selling season. While prices remain relatively firm, different price points are experiencing varying degrees of pressure from new inventory. Sellers are listing their homes, and I anticipate more inventory than in the last several years. Today's market's most significant price pressures are below the median sale price. 

 

 

This week, Deschutes County added 40 homes to the MLS for 884 single-family listings. The median number of days listed for the active inventory is 55, less than any time over the last several months. Fewer days listed are typical for spring when older listings find buyers and new homes flood the market. Sixty-two pending sales this week, 21 less than last week's robust activity, is still ahead of the pace for the last several weeks' pending sales. The average price of actively listed homes is $1,147,969, $928,455 for pending sales, and $849,233 for closed transactions. For a detailed analysis of Deschutes County inventory, click to sign up for my Central Oregon Luxury Market Report!

 

 

Crook County inventory is finally starting to build, with 164 single-family homes listed this morning, up 18 from last week and the highest since December 18, 2024. The average list price of the active inventory is $977,087. There were six pending sales in Crook County this week at an average price of $420,315 and four closed transactions at an average of $759,750. All four closed sales this week were in Powell Butte or Brasada Ranch, with all six pending sales in Prineville. With just under 29,000 residents in Crook County and a large and diverse geographic area, analyzing this unique part of Central Oregon takes local knowledge and attention to the differences that make up the county. The premier golf course community of Brasada Ranch stands alone in the county without peers. The views and acreage around Powell Butte and the nearby proximity to Bend and Redmond deserve specific analysis. For more information about Crook County properties over $1M, check out my Luxury Market Report published every Friday.

 

 

Jefferson County inventory is slowly inching up. This morning, 102 single-family homes were listed, up two from the previous week. The average list price of the active inventory is $562,316. The average list price of the three pending sales this week was $458,322. This week, there were two closed transactions, one at $279,999 and the other at $427,900. 

 

 

The Consumer Price Index Report, due later today, can create volatility in mortgage rates if the number is significantly higher or lower than predicted. Still, I anticipate mortgage rates staying near 7% for the foreseeable future, with variation up and down approximately 30 basis points. Relatively stable rates and adequate inventory equate to a predictable housing market in Central Oregon. For buyers on a tight budget, focused on homes at or below the median sale price, patience is a virtue as the inventory of new listings climbs. For those seeking unique properties with a mix of hard-to-find features, Cascade Mountain views, and trophy locations, it is essential to stay knowledgeable about the market and to act quickly when the right property comes along. 

 

 

I recently completed a detailed market analysis for a unique property in Crook County with no easy comparables. I analyze properties in Central Oregon every day of the week, and other agents regularly ask my opinion on hard-to-price properties. Please feel free to reach out anytime you need help with a price opinion, and I will be happy to create a market analysis specifically tailored to you. 

 

Sign Up for the Central Oregon Market Report

 

Sign Up for the Central Oregon Luxury Market Report

 

 

Reed

Your Bend Real Estate Agent is here to help

Reed Melton serves Bend and surrounding areas

Whether you are searching in Bend or any of the close by areas, I want to help you find the perfect property. Even if you are in the beginning stages of your search, I always like to be a resource, no pressure ever.
March 7, 2025

Central Oregon Luxury Market Report | March 7, 2025

Central Oregon Luxury Market Report for March 7, 2025

Welcome to the first edition of the Central Oregon Luxury Market Report! In this weekly report sent every Friday, I will focus on four categories: Deschutes County single-family properties between $1M and $1,999,999, $2M to $2,999,999, over $3M, and Crook County properties over $1M. As you will see over time, each of these segments of the Central Oregon housing market has particular trends that do not always align with the rest of the market and deserve their own reporting. Let's dive in!

 

 

This morning, 216 homes are listed in Deschutes County between $1M and $1,999,999, with a median listing time of 53 days. Eighty-two properties have reduced the asking price by a median of -3.83%. Thirteen homes have been pending in the previous seven days, with a median listing time of thirty-nine days and a median price change before securing a contract of -3.43%. Thirteen transactions closed this week, listed only seventeen days, with a paltry median price change of -1.43%. While many of these properties might fall short of luxury homes, this highly active market segment deserves a closer look. Eighty-seven homes have closed since January 1, 2025, with 682 sales in 2024.

 

There are sixty-seven active listings between $2M and $2,999,999, and the median days on the market are 53. Three properties are pending at only thirteen days listed, with no price changes before securing a contract. No sales closed in the previous week, and fifteen transactions have closed since the beginning of the year, with eighty sales in 2024.

 

 

Over $3M in Deschutes County, you will find the best-of-the-best for Central Oregon with large acreage properties, stunning Cascade Mountain views, premier golf course homes, and more, with thirty-two active listings this morning.The median days listed for the active listings is 157 at an average price of $4,507,844. Eleven price changes at a median of -7.51% show that pricing for exclusive properties can be tricky, and in many cases, an adjustment is required. Two properties are pending, one in Tetherow and the other in Caldera Springs in Sunriver. This week's single sale in this price segment closed in the sought-after Deschutes River Ranch in Tumalo. Five homes above $3M have closed year-to-date, with thirty-seven closing in 2024. 

 

 

Forty-four homes are listed in Crook County over $1M, with the median days listed at 107 and an average price of $2,104,295. Most of these properties are around Powell Butte or in the desirable Brasada Ranch golf community. One sale in Brasada Ranch is pending this week at $2,647,700; there has been no price change, with no closed transactions this week. Three transactions above $1M have closed year-to-date, with forty-four in 2024.

 

 

Of particular note in this report are the very low median days listed for the closed sales between $1M and $1,999,999 and the pending sales between $2M and $2,999,999. The low days listed before finding a buyer in this price segment contrast sharply with the longer marketing time above $3M. However, desirable homes move quickly in all cases, and the smaller pool of potential properties allows buyers in this segment to be very knowledgeable about the market. 

 

Reed

Your Bend Real Estate Agent is here to help

Reed Melton serves Bend and surrounding areas

Whether you are searching in Bend or any of the close by areas, I want to help you find the perfect property. Even if you are in the beginning stages of your search, I always like to be a resource, no pressure ever.
March 5, 2025

Central Oregon Market Report | March 5, 2025

Central Oregon Market Report for March 5, 2025

This morning, the national average for a 30-year fixed-rate conventional mortgage is 6.7%, a 30 basis point drop from just several days ago. Without strong underlying data driving this drop, it is difficult to predict how long this trend might last, but there is little doubt this is a welcome relief for buyers and sellers. Economically, the United States and much of the free world are slipping into recession, but there is no correlation between a recession and a housing slump. In fact, with the stock market faltering as of late, a shift to hard assets like commodities and housing is taking place. While the Central Oregon housing market has been mostly flat since its peak in 2022, there has been a slight increase in sales volume in both 2023 and 2024. Judging by the activity to start this year and some relief in mortgage interest rates, I suspect the upward trend will continue. I don't see sharp increases, but firming prices and strong buyer demand are trends starting in 2025. 

 

 

This morning, Deschutes County's inventory is up to 844 single-family homes, an increase of thirty from last week. Rising inventory and lower interest rates attract buyers, and 83 pending sales, the most since October 2, 2024, are proof. The median days listed for the pending inventory of 33 show desirable homes moving quickly. The median list price of pending sales is $659,900. Seventy-four homes closed in the county at a median price per square foot of $356.

 

In neighboring Crook County, the rise in available inventory is far more subdued, increasing five from the previous week to 148. Seven pending sales are consistent with the last several weeks, with ten closed transactions. The median pending sale days listed is forty, with the median list price of pending sales at $475,000. The median price per square foot of the nine closed listings within Prineville was $264, with the home sold in Brasada Ranch at $529. This last metric proves it is important to be specific when evaluating data with such a large discrepancy between Prineville and Brasada Ranch square foot prices. 

 

Jefferson County added two to the net total inventory, with 100 single-family listings this morning. Four pending sales and six closed transactions are identical to last week's numbers, with the median pending sale price only slightly higher at $488,500. The median price per square foot for the closed transactions was $249.

 

Beginning Friday, I will write another weekly report, the Central Oregon Luxury Market Report, to properly account for all segments of Central Oregon housing. The total sales for single-family homes in Deschutes County in 2024 were 3,343, with 635 sales over $1M, 115 over $2M, and 37 over $3M. My Luxury Market Report will cover the $1M-$2M trends, particularly those between $2M-$3M and over $3M. The word "luxury" can mean many things to many people, but price will be the sole delineator for this report. Whether you are looking for large acreage with Cascade Mountain Views, golf course homes, or unique in-town properties, this report will provide essential information. I will send Friday's report to everyone receiving today's report, but after that, it will only be by subscription. I have included links below to subscribe to today's report and the new Luxury Market Report. 

 

In 2024, I was the top agent by sales dollar volume in the Realty One Group Discovery office in Bend, which is only possible because of your support. I look forward to another year of assisting buyers and sellers in meeting their goals across all price points. Please do not hesitate to ask me any questions about Central Oregon real estate.

 

Sign Up for the Central Oregon Market Report

 

Sign Up for the Central Oregon Luxury Market Report

 

 

Reed

Your Bend Real Estate Agent is here to help

Reed Melton serves Bend and surrounding areas

Whether you are searching in Bend or any of the close by areas, I want to help you find the perfect property. Even if you are in the beginning stages of your search, I always like to be a resource, no pressure ever.
Feb. 26, 2025

Central Oregon Market Report | February 26, 2025

Central Oregon Market Report for February 26, 2025

Mortgage interest rates are at recent lows at 6.8% this morning, providing some relief for buyers. Whether rates continue to improve remains to be seen, but today's conditions are a noticeable improvement from the last few months. 

 

 

The most significant change in market conditions is the recent inventory spike in Deschutes County. This morning, 814 single-family homes are listed, an increase of 45 since last week and nearly matching the 56 pending sales. Forty-nine homes sold this week at a median of $635,000 and an average of $708,830. The pending sales took a median of thirty-eight days to secure a contract, with the closed properties at fifty-four days.

 

 

Crook County's inventory remains tight, with 143 single-family homes listed this morning. The available homes have been stuck in the 140s since the beginning of the year. Nine pending sales this week at only eighteen median days listed indicate strong buyer demand. Three properties closed at a median of $361,900, an average of $319,266, and 54 days listed before securing a contract.

 

 

Inventory in Jefferson County has remained in the 90s since early December. This morning, there are 98 single-family homes listed, the same as last week. Four pending sales this week have a median listing time of 48 days, with six closed transactions taking a median of 73 days to secure a contract. The median sale price is $361,998, and the average is $414,899.

 

 

The increase in homes for sale in Deschutes County has outpaced the last few years, creating significant competition in many market segments. While mortgage rates might improve, there aren't top-tier data-driving rates today. As more economic data comes in, it will be interesting to see if rates improve, flatline, or increase. There is little doubt that inflation, the pace of bond purchasing, and other factors could quickly change the direction of mortgage rates. Talk with your lender to determine if a rate lock makes sense for buyers engaged in the market today. However, with so many homes hitting the market right now, I encourage buyers to make sure any property they consider will meet their needs and to pay particular attention to price. Sitting back and watching things develop as spring inventory builds might make sense.

 

 

Reed

Your Bend Real Estate Agent is here to help

Reed Melton serves Bend and surrounding areas

Whether you are searching in Bend or any of the close by areas, I want to help you find the perfect property. Even if you are in the beginning stages of your search, I always like to be a resource, no pressure ever.
Feb. 19, 2025

Central Oregon Market Report | February 19, 2025

Central Oregon Market Report for February 19, 2025

This morning, mortgage rates for a 30-year fixed-rate conventional mortgage are 7.02%, nearly identical to the last several weeks, with no significant change on the horizon. In the housing market, when mortgage rates stay elevated, inventory rises. If inventory increases enough and buyer demand slips, prices soften. Increasing inventory is happening in Central Oregon, with softening less of a factor. However, many price points are becoming significantly more competitive, making accurate pricing more critical. Another factor of increasing inventory is an extended time on the market. During the peak buying frenzy of the pandemic, single-digit days on the market with multiple offers on a single property were prevalent. Today, most pending sales median days listed are a month or more, with the active inventory showing properties listed for three months or more. The old real estate axiom, "price cures all," rings true for properties that linger without offers. 

 

 

Inventory levels in Deschutes County likely reached the bottom for 2025 at 750 single-family listings on February 5. In 2022, the bottom was 333, which didn't occur until April 20. In 2023, the number was 485 on March 1 and 550 on February 14, 2024. While population growth in Central Oregon continues, sales have dampened from the lofty peaks during the pandemic. From 2013-2022, annual sales of single-family homes in Deschutes County exceeded 4,000 (2013 - 3,948), with sales of houses eclipsing 5,000 in 2020 and 2021. In 2022, as mortgage rates escalated in the second half of the year, sales diminished while still reaching 4,130. In 2023, buyers purchased 3,162 homes and 3,343 in 2024. 

 

 

Today, 769 single-family homes are actively listed in Deschutes County, with a median listing time of ninety days. A steady fifty-six properties are pending at a median sale price of $649,500. At this time of year, the trend of selling more modestly priced homes is likely attributable to buyers who are more motivated by a home they can afford and less inclined to hold out for unique or particular features. Interestingly, the median price change before securing a contract for this week's pending sales was only -2.45%. Today's housing market might not be as red-hot as the pandemic, but sales are still brisk. 

 

 

Smaller Crook County is not experiencing the same inventory increases as neighboring Deschutes County. There are 144 single-family homes listed, down two from last week. Sales are strong, with eleven pending transactions at a median of $490,000. The median price reduction of the pending sales before securing a contract is -3.61%. Ten properties closed this week at a median of $437,000. The housing market in Crook County experiences very different dynamics from the rest of Central Oregon, with communities like Powell Butte and Brasada Ranch selling well above $1M, compared to downtown Prineville homes selling near the $300k mark in many cases. 

 

 

Jefferson County inventory remains flat, with ninety-eight homes listed this morning, only one more from last week.Three houses are pending at a median of $299,950. Two of the three pending sales are new construction, and the median price change before securing a contract was an increase of 3.45%. Four properties closed at a median of $389,996.

 

 

The numbers in today's report show a very different dynamic between the three counties of Central Oregon. While looking at Crook and Jefferson County to learn the market is easy, larger Deschutes County requires a more specific approach. Bend, Redmond, parts of Terrebonne, Sisters, and La Pine are all within Deschutes County; each area deserves an independent analysis, particularly Bend, which is generally divided by the NW, NE, SW, and SE quadrants. Acreage properties, Cascade Mountain Views, and exceptional homes require a unique analysis to understand the market. No matter where in our region you are focused and whether you are buying or selling, understanding pricing in today's market is essential to any transaction.

 

 

Reed

Your Bend Real Estate Agent is here to help

Reed Melton serves Bend and surrounding areas

Whether you are searching in Bend or any of the close by areas, I want to help you find the perfect property. Even if you are in the beginning stages of your search, I always like to be a resource, no pressure ever.
Feb. 12, 2025

Central Oregon Market Report | February 12, 2025

Central Oregon Market Report for February 12, 2025

This morning, the national average for a 30-year fixed-rate conventional mortgage is 7.05%, the same as last week. Inventory levels across Deschutes, Crook, and Jefferson Counties have increased slightly this week, indicating that we may have reached the bottom for 2025. Even if we have seen the bottom for inventory levels, the increases will be slow for the next several weeks until more sellers begin listing for the summer. With the weekly activity across Central Oregon so steady, I will again take the opportunity to share a year-end recap, this time for Sisters. 

 

 

Sisters

 

2022

Sold - 221, Median sale - $735,000, Days Listed - 8

 

2023

Sold - 180, Median sale - $719,000, Days Listed - 27

 

2024

Sold - 171, Median sale - $750,000, Days Listed - 30

 

 

The smaller market in Sisters has a tremendously diverse set of homes, making any broad analysis more challenging. However, the standout metric in this report is the reduced sales volume. With fewer homes listed at any given moment, attractive, well-priced properties sell relatively fast. The potential mix of views, location, and acreage significantly impacts marketability. Coincidently, I listed and sold the fourth most expensive home in Sisters in 2024, a beautiful home in the Aspen Lakes Golf Course community that closed at $1,989,000. The highest-priced sale in Sisters in 2024 was $2.9M

 

 

Below, I will show the sales over the last three years for Sisters above and below 10 acres. 

 

 

Sisters - Above 10 Acres

 

2022

Sold - 16, Median sale - $1,525,000, Days Listed - 72

High - $6.8M, Average sq/ft 4,264, 3.8 bed/3.7 bath

 

2023

Sold - 9, Median sale - $1,850,000, Days Listed - 56

High - $15M, Average sq/ft 5,000, 4.6 bed/4.3 bath

 

2024

Sold - 14, Median sale - $1,760,000, Days Listed - 50

High - $2.9M, Average sq/ft 3,445, 3.4 bed/3.5 bath

 

 

With so few homes selling over 10 acres, the highest-priced sales significantly impact the data. Using the Median sale price helps to present a more accurate picture, but the average square footage and bedroom and bathroom counts get pulled up. The key for homes on larger acreage is the individual features of the house and property. Again, there is so much diversity that any accurate analysis requires a thorough property evaluation. But many of the homes in this category have large, very high-quality homes, extensive landscaping, and Cascade Mountain views. 

 

 

Sisters - Below 10 Acres

 

2022

Sold - 207, Median sale - $725,000, Days Listed - 6

High - $3.3M, Average sq/ft 2,182, 3.2 bed/2.7 bath

 

2023

Sold - 171, Median sale - $695,494, Days Listed - 26

High - $2.475M, Average sq/ft 2,048, 3.2 bed/2.6 bath

 

2024

Sold - 158, Median sale - $733,500, Days Listed - 26

High - $2.1M, Average sq/ft 2,027, 3.1 bed/2.7 bath

 

 

The lot sizes for the homes above and below 10 acres are all over the map. However, lot size only adds so much value, considering that most of these properties cannot be subdivided and are single-family home sites. The average square footage and bedroom and bathroom count show more modest properties below 10 acres and significantly more sales. In the larger data pool of homes on property less than 10 acres, the price growth since 2022 is modest at only 1.17%.

 

 

Any market analysis looking at larger data pools is problematic because of the extreme diversity of location, home size and quality, views, and many other factors. These analyses have great value in identifying overall trends, but specific reporting for an individual home requires a deeper analysis. Just like a Zestimate cannot be right on the money, neither can a view of the entire city of Sisters or all of Deschutes County. With so much data available to buyers today, I frequently have clients quoting the last sale price of a property as a basis for deciding if the list price is accurate. With the significant price growth we witnessed in Central Oregon from 2020-2022, it is easy to be shocked by the lower cost of property a few years back. However, in the last three years, prices have remained mostly flat. There are always wildcards in the pricing calculation; some properties are marketable and unique. 

 

 

I regularly design marketing and pricing strategies for my clients. I have local knowledge and a deep familiarity with the Central Oregon housing market. Contact me anytime if you have any questions about homes or property!

 

 

Reed

Your Bend Real Estate Agent is here to help

Reed Melton serves Bend and surrounding areas

Whether you are searching in Bend or any of the close by areas, I want to help you find the perfect property. Even if you are in the beginning stages of your search, I always like to be a resource, no pressure ever.
Feb. 5, 2025

Central Oregon Market Report | February 5, 2025

Central Oregon Market Report for February 5, 2025

This morning, the national average for a 30-year fixed-rate conventional mortgage is 7.05%, almost precisely where rates have averaged for the last two years. Coincidentally, inventory levels across Deschutes, Crook, and Jefferson Counties have been flat over the previous few weeks, with consistent pending and closed sale volume. The numbers are so steady that sharing them this week feels redundant. Instead, I am providing another 2024 year in review for Bend, Madras, and Prineville, the largest cities in each of the three counties that make up Central Oregon. As you will see, the individual towns have performed similarly to the broader county dataset. In the coming weeks, I will break down the activity by price points to reveal which segments outperform the wider market.

 

 

Bend

2022

Sold - 2,502, Median sale - $765,000, Days Listed - 8

2023

Sold - 1,932, Median sale - $749,970, Days Listed - 19

2024

Sold - 1,975, Median sale - $770,000, Days Listed - 27

 

 

It should come as no surprise that the highest-priced homes cluster around Bend. Sisters has more than its share of high-end sales; I will provide those numbers in future reports. In 2024, there were 603 sales in Bend zip codes over $1M, with 107 over $2M. My future reporting on activity in Bend will focus on sales below the median of ~$750k, $750k-$1M, $1M-$2M, $2M-$3M, and over $3M. These price points deserve a deeper dive to understand the Bend market thoroughly. 

 

 

Prineville

2022

Sold - 365, Median sale - $425,000, Days Listed - 21

2023

Sold - 297, Median sale - $424,995, Days Listed - 49

2024

Sold - 317, Median sale - $442,500, Days Listed - 41

 

 

With four sales over $1M in the City of Prineville, it would be easy to assume there isn't much of a higher-end market in Oregon's geographic center. However, Crook County had forty-three sales of over $1M in 2024, mostly clustered around Powell Butte or in the golf community of Brasada Ranch. A breakdown of prices for Crook County using a cap of $1M for Prineville and sales above and below $500k, with separate reports for Powell Butte and Brasada Ranch, will provide the most insight into 2024. 

 

 

Madras

2022

Sold - 196, Median sale - $382,450, Days Listed - 22

2023

Sold - 129, Median sale - $360,000, Days Listed - 47

2024

Sold - 136, Median sale - $366,000, Days Listed - 74

 

 

In 2024, no homes sold over $1M in Madras, and there were two closings over that price in all of Jefferson County.One of those sales was in Camp Sherman near Black Butte Ranch, with the other in the 3 Rivers Recreation Area at Lake Billy Chinook. For Madras and Jefferson County, a breakdown by price will be most beneficial, looking above and below $500k.

 

 

For those of you with an analytical bent, the above report will help you better understand the market. However, many of my clients simply work within their budgets to find the right home for them. Either way, I am prepared to help you in the best way possible. I am undoubtedly a numbers geek, but I also regularly scour our MLS, looking at individual properties to better understand value and what is selling at any particular price point. Providing you with the information and having the knowledge to help you make the best decision for your needs is something I take very seriously. Don't hesitate to contact me anytime if you have any questions.

 

 

Reed

Your Bend Real Estate Agent is here to help

Reed Melton serves Bend and surrounding areas

Whether you are searching in Bend or any of the close by areas, I want to help you find the perfect property. Even if you are in the beginning stages of your search, I always like to be a resource, no pressure ever.